- Chris Johnson is ready for the playoffs.
- At least the fantasy playoffs. Chris Johnson’s near 200 yard performance against the Buccaneers showed fantasy owners that they can count on CJ2K when the big games commence in a couple of weeks. If you were able to survive his early season struggles and stay in the playoff hunt you are about to reap the benefits.
- Green Bay receivers are a must start.
- Generally I don’t recommend starting all of teams receivers, but after watching the way Green Bay’s offense carved up Detroit’s defense it’s more than a notion to consider. From here on out if you have a Green Bay receiver start him. They are so explosive and one play could make your fantasy day and there’s no need to leave points on the bench at this time of year.
- Mike Williams is starting to produce.
- He made our All-Disappointment Team at mid-season but with scores in the last two weeks Mike Williams is a guy who needs to be in your line up from here on out. Freeman is starting to connect with him on a regular basis and that’s good news with the fantasy playoffs so near.
- Peyton back on track?
- Peyton Hillis has been woefully disappointing this season, but his return to the Browns line up in Week 12 was a good sign for fantasy owners. His 57 yard performance won’t make headlines, but the most important thing is that he made it through a whole game without injury and is worthy of being started down the stretch. If for some reason he is on waivers in your league, put in your claim today!
- Andre Johnson’s return may not matter.
- Fantasy owners rejoiced as Andre Johnson returned to the Texans lineup after missing the previous six games with a hamstring injury. However, after Matt Schaub and Matt Leinart have been lost for the season, rookie QB T.J. Yates is the only hope for Andre Johnson’s fantasy life. Outlook not so good. Play him if you must but expect decreased production.
Month: November 2011
Evan’s Week 12 Spotlight
The Guy I Like: Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers
After 11 weeks on the 2011 NFL season, it has become very clear that the Carolina Panther offense begins and often ends with Cam Newton. The previously run-focused Panthers are moving the ball through the air this season, and, when they do decide to run, Cam Newton often calls his own number rather than that of Jonathan Stewart or DeAngelo Williams – especially when they get near the goal line. This offensive philosophy has made starting a Carolina Panther running back a risky proposition in 2011.
Things have been especially tricky for Stewart owners, as they have yet to see the 4th-year back get 15 carries in a single game. Expect that to change in Week 12 when the Panthers travel to Indianapolis to face the winless Colts. The Colts have been the antidote for many offensive problems this year, giving up more than 145 yards rushing and a rushing TD per game. Stewart should see close to 20 touches in the game which should lead to 100+ total yards and his 3rd touchdown of the season.
The Guy I Do Not Like: Ryan Mathews, San Diego Chargers
Much like the rest of the San Diego Chargers team, Ryan Mathews started the year hot and has regressed of late. With Darren Sproles out of the picture, Mathews was expected to see a larger role in 2011. Things seemed to be going just as planned up until the Chargers’ bye week, after which Mathews has yet to surpass 60 yards rushing in a game while failing to reach the end zone even once. With the Tim Tebow-led Broncos coming to town in Week 12, Mathews should again make minimal impact on the game.
Although Tebow is receiving the majority of the credit for the recent Bronco success, it is tough to overlook a young, feisty Denver defense (led by Von Miller) and its contribution to the team. Coming off a performance in which they held the Jets to 83 yards rushing, Denver’s defense will be confident and will make things very difficult for the Charger running game. Owners of Ryan Mathews should expect no more than 60 total yards without a TD.
Frank’s Week 12 Spotlight
The Guy I Like: Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers
I love Big Ben in this match up. The Steelers are coming off of their bye and I think Ben has gotten time to get used to taking snaps and making throws with the broken thumb on his throwing hand. When you couple that with the fact that the Kansas City defense was shredded through the air by Tom Brady on Monday night and that Chiefs QB Tyler Palko has a penchant for throwing the ball to the other team I think it adds up to a big day for Big Ben. Mike Wallace, Antonio Brown, and Heath Miller will find plenty of room to operate against a depleted Chiefs secondary. Look for Big Ben to throw at least 2 touchdowns and around 280 yards. He might even add a rushing touchdown around the goal line just for fun.
The Guy I Like: Steve Johnson, Buffalo Bills
Like the Bills, Steve Johnson’s season started with so much promise. However, much like the Bills, Steve Johnson’s fantasy season is starting unravel right before our very eyes. Unfortunately, things don’t get much better for Johnson this week as he travels to Revis island. Revis has a knack for shutting down opposing teams number one receivers and there’s no reason to think he won’t hold Johnson in check when they face off on Sunday. Expect no more than 50 yards from Johnson and no trips to the end zone.
Week 12 is here and your fight for the fantasy playoffs should be in full force.
2 Guys talk about quarterback alternatives for the injured Jay Cutler to include: Vince Young, Matt Moore, Jake Locker, and the newly released Kyle Orton.
Evan of 2 Guys talks about the value of playing match ups late in the fantasy season, especially at the quarterback position.
Kevin Smith took on the fantasy world by storm in Week 11 and 2 Guys discuss whether or not his performance is sustainable for the rest of the season.
Lastly, 2 Guys talk about several sleeper picks who might pay big dividends down the stretch in your league.
- Is Kevin Smith a one hit wonder?
- Yes and no. He probably won’t duplicate his performance from Sunday (159 rush yds, 3 tds) but the Lions desperately need help in the run game and Smith could prove to be a more than capable option down the stretch.
- We’ve had a Jake Locker sighting.
- Jake Locker stepped for an injured Matt Hasselbeck and looked pretty good (152 pass yards, 2 tds) doing it. The real question is he worth picking up? The answer depends on how desperate you are at QB. Locker has a lot of fantasy potential but at this late stage you are better off leaving him on waivers unless you are in a dynasty/keeper league format.
- Matt Moore continues his strong play.
- Matt Moore tossed another 3 touchdowns as the Dolphins continued their strong play. Moore continues to find multiple receivers in the Miami offense so his success appears sustainable, at least in the short term. If you need a QB at this late juncture he’s as good as any you’ll find on waivers.
- Darren McFadden owners be wary.
- Michael Bush’s strong play could steal carries from McFadden when he returns to the lineup. Of course, you should still start McFadden if he’s healthy. But it’s worth noting that Bush’s strong play could take away from his carries and possibly even touchdowns in short yardage situations.
- The Broncos defense could be a sleeper.
- The Broncos defense seems to be playing inspired ball with Tebow under center. Call it the Tebow effect or maybe just the fact that Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil can get a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Whatever the reason the Broncos defense could be a good trump card to have as the playoffs approach.
Evan’s Week 11 Spotlight
The Guy I Like: Mark Sanchez, New York Jets
Coming into his 3rd NFL season, many people expected to see major progress from Mark Sanchez this year. After all, he was coming off a season in which he again won 2 road playoff games, and he seemed poised to begin to show some of that leadership and moxie during the 2011 Jets regular season. Things have not gone exactly as planned for Sanchez as his performance has been rather streaky during the first 10 weeks of the season. This week will be a different story. In Week 11 (on a Thursday night by the way so make sure to set your line up early) Sanchez should find plenty of success as he faces a Denver Broncos team that has allowed 18 touchdown passes already this season.
The Tim Tebow-led Broncos have been able to secure a few wins over the past few weeks by using a collegiate-style option offense to control the time of possession battle and to keep the ball away from opposing offenses. Amazingly, in today’s pass-happy NFL, the Broncos were able to win in Week 10 while completing only 2 passes. Do not expect the same result however in Week 11. Rex Ryan will have his defense geared up to stop Tebow which will mean the run-heavy Broncos will need to rely on little-used Lance Ball, due to injuries to Knoshown Moreno and Willis McGahee, to shoulder the rushing load. I do not see this formula wearing down the Jets defense, who should be able to get stops when they need them. With hius defense keeping the Broncos from long, time-consuming drives, Sanchez will have more than enough opportunity to post some gaudy numbers. Fantasy owners who start Sanchez should expect a minimum of 250 yards passing with 2 TD passes.
The Guy I Do Not Like: A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals
Everybody raise your hand that thought the Bengals would win 6 of their first 9 games this season. The Bengals have been as big of a surprise as any team so far in 2011, and a major factor has been the play of a couple rookies, Andy Dalton and A.J. Green. Both players are playing like veterans, helping make the Bengals offense solid and steady through the first 10 weeks of the season. Typically, Green is a solid fantasy starter, but Week 11 is not typical for the Bengals.
After a hard-fought game with the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 10 in which Green suffered a knee injury that has kept him out of practice so far this week, the Bengals have the privilege of traveling to Baltimore to face another division foe in the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens defense has caused fits for opposing quarterbacks so far this season, allowing less than 200 yards passing per game while allowing only 6 TD passes on the year. Against such a tough defense, Andy Dalton should not have a whole lot of success looking for his hobbled, go-to receiver. Expect no more than 50 receiving yards from Green without a TD catch in Week 11.
Frank’s Week 11 Spotlight
The Guy I Like: Marshawn Lynch, Seattle Seahawks
Last week Marshawn Lynch went over 100 yards including an impressive run that left the great Ray Lewis grasping at air. Lynch certainly lived up to his Beast Mode nickname against a tough Ravens defense. This week Lynch and the Seahawks travel to St. Louis to pay the Rams a visit. The Rams have been playing better lately (won 2 of 3 games) but their run defense (150.6 ypg) is still abysmal. Start Lynch with confidence this week and watch him go into Beast Mode for at least 100 yards and a touchdown.
The Guy I Don’t Like: Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers
I have been in Cam’s corner all season so it pains me to do this. I think when it’s all said and done Cam will be one of the all time greats, but this week he hits a bump in the road. The Lions are angry after a tough loss against division rival Chicago and they know they need a win heading into their Thanksgiving showdown against Green Bay. I also think there is a little more of Cam on tape and teams are taking away some of the things he was successful at doing early in the season. What does it all this mean? In the end expect about 200 yards passing with a couple of picks, 40 yards rushing and a rushing touchdown.
Week 11 is upon us and it’s officially crunch time in your fantasy football league.
This week 2 Guys discuss Matt Leinart’s value in the Texans offense as he takes over for the injured Matt Schaub.
2 Guys also discuss Vince Young, Tyler Palko, Tavares Jackson, and Alex Smith in an effort to find out which of these QBs will be the best pickup for Week 11.
2 Guys look at Vincent Brown, Denarius Moore, and Lance Ball and discuss whether or not they are worth picking up for the fantasy stretch run.
The Colts and Eagles have been two of the most disappointing teams in the league this year and 2 Guys talk about how their poor performances have shifted the fantasy landscape in 2011.
Lastly, 2 Guys speculate on CJ2K and if his performance was a sign of things to come or just an aberration.
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- Matt Leinart should be on your bench.
- With Matt Schaub likely out for the season and Michael Vick suffering from broken ribs Matt Leinart just became an intriguing fantasy option. Leinart certainly flamed out in Arizona but he steps into a much different situation in Houston as he inherits the reigns to an explosive Texans attack. It’s not likely Leinart will duplicate Schaub’s numbers but he has the potential to be a serviceable fantasy QB down the stretch.
- Lance Ball is going to get the ball.
- With Knowshon Moreno out for the season and Willis McGahee potentially sidelined for a couple of weeks with a hamstring injury Lance Ball stands to benefit greatly in Denver’s rush oriented attack. Ball had 30 carries in Sunday’s win over Kansas City and figures to see plenty of opportunities in the weeks ahead.
- What can Brown do for you?
- Vincent Brown might be the most reliable Vincent in the Chargers receiving corps. With Vincent Jackson continuing his maddeningly inconsistent play Vincent Brown seems to be finding favor with Philip Rivers. Brown looked great on several deep balls Rivers threw his way and had a second touchdown overturned on a insane replay review. If Brown is on waivers in your league you should snatch him up.
- Chris Johnson owners shouldn’t celebrate.
- Chris Johnson had his best day of the fantasy season so far but you shouldn’t be surprised. The Panthers run defense has been near the bottom of the league all season and has been the elixir for bad running games around the league. With that being said Johnson did show some of the burst that made him an elite fantasy back in years past. He hasn’t gotten himself back to an automatic start in fantasy but he’s getting closer. Monitor the match ups and play him accordingly down the stretch.
- Denarius Moore could be worth a look.
- Moore grabbed 2 tds against the Chargers and looks like he might be Palmer’s favorite target. Seems like a waiver wire pick up to me.
Evan’s Week 10 Spotlight
The Guy I Like: Brandon Marshall, Miami Dolphins
After being in several games throughout the first 8 weeks of the season without finding a way to bring home a win, the Miami Dolphins went into Arrowhead Stadium and thoroughly handled the Kansas City Chiefs. Matt Moore looked like a competent quarterback for the first time all season which led to Brandon Marshall surpassing 100 yards receiving and scoring a touchdown for the first time since Week 2. For the first time all year, Miami can truly say they have momentum heading into Week 10 when the Washington Redskins visit South Florida. Washington’s defense has talent, but, with the offense struggling mightily over the past several weeks, has a tremendous amount of pressure on them to keep the Skins in games. Expect Marshall to take advantage of a defense that is pressing and to get another 100 yard game under his belt. After struggling to decide whether to start Brandon Marshall after Chad Henne was lost for the season, fantasy owners can have full confidence in starting Marshall in Week 10 as well as throughout the remainder of the 2011 season.
The Guy I Do Not Like: LeGarrette Blount, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With all the other stories happening in the AFC South (Peyton Manning’s career potentially being over, the disappearance of Chris Johnson) it is easy to overlook the first place Houston Texans. After missing the postseason last season due to the lackluster defense, Houston brought in Wade Phillips to instill a new defense. The results thus far have been outstanding as the Texans lead the NFL in total defense and will bring that unit to Tampa this week. The player who will feel the wrath of this suddenly tough defense in Week 10 is LeGarrette Blount. 2011 has been a strange year for Blount- at times he has been the punishing runner that fantasy owners grew to love last season and at other times he has been an afterthought in the Tampa offense. After suffering a knee injury that cost him two weeks, Blount returned in Week 9 and only touched the ball 15 times as Josh Freeman became more prominent in the Bucs offense. Expect that trend to continue in Week 10 as the Bucs try to keep up with the Texans offense. With only 15 touches, Blount should not exceed 65 total yards without reaching the endzone.
Frank’s Week 10 Spotlight
The Guy I Like: Laurent Robinson, Dallas Cowboys
With Miles Austin suffering another hamstring injury in Week 9 Laurent Robinson gets his chance to shine. Robinson has already shown his explosiveness in previous games against the Eagles and Seahawks. He will take Austin’s place in the line up this week against a Bills defense that ranks 25th (260 ypg) against the pass. The Cowboys seem to have found a solid running attack behind Demarco Murray so Robinson will probably see single coverage on early downs while the Bills stack the box to stop the run. Look for Robinson to take advantage of these one on one situations for the tune of around 80 yards and a touchdown. If you picked him up off of waivers he should be in your line up this week.
The Guy I Don’t Like: Rashard Mendenhall, Pittsburgh Steelers
Mendenhall has been one of the bigger fantasy disappointments this year. Many owners expected him to produce like an elite level back only to watch in horror as the Steelers have morphed into a passing team in the first half of 2011.
Add that to the fact this week Mendenhall faces the Bengal’s 2nd rated rush defense (84.5 ypg) and it doesn’t look like a great week for Rashard. If you were on the fence about starting him you may want to go in another direction. I don’t see more than 40 to 50 yards on the ground for Mendenhall nor a trip to the endzone. They’ll be better weeks for Mendenhall but this is not the one.
Heading into week 10 every game has more meaning and it is critical that you have best players in your line up each week.
This week 2 Guys cover under achieving players: Philip Rivers, Vincent Jackson, and Brandon Marshall and whether or not you can expect them to play well down the stretch.
2 Guys also discuss Julio Jones and Reggie Bush’s big performances and if they should be in your line ups for week 10.
Tom Brady, Brandon Jacobs, and Cedric Benson are some of the fantasy players going up against tough defenses this week, 2 Guys talk about how this will affect their performances as well as other players who are facing difficult match ups.
Jacoby Ford and Roy Helu are likely on waivers in many leagues and 2 Guys discuss whether or not these guys are worthing picking up for Week 10 and beyond.
Lastly, 2 Guys reveal their 2011 All-Surprise team which includes some of the biggest fantasy surprises in 2011 including Eli Manning, Jimmy Graham, and Fred Jackson.
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|Eli Manning||Quarterback||Eli has been a top 10 QB in real life and in fantasy this season.|
|Lesean McCoy||Running Back||McCoy's success is no surprise but no one knew he'd be this good.|
|Fred Jackson||Running Back||Rarely do you get 1st round production from a back that goes in the 5th or 6th round.|
|Wes Welker||Wide Receiver||Welker has always been a fantasy factor but in 2011 he is among the elite.|
|Steve Smith||Wide Receiver||Looks better than ever in 2011 after a disappointing 2010 campaign.|
|Jimmy Graham||Tight End||Has clearly been the #1 fantasy tight end so far in 2011.|
|Frank Gore||Flex||Looks as good as ever in the 49ers revamped offense.|
|Bengals D/ST||Defense/Special Teams||This underrated unit was probably on waivers in every league after the draft.|
|Jason Hanson||Kicker||Has been the benefactor of Detroit's prolific offense.|