SuperBowl Game Pick

russell-wilson
Frank picks against the winner of SuperBowl XLVIII.
Broncos(-2.5) over Seattle
Decisions, Decisions. I won't bore you with talk of Peyton's legacy or what Richard Sherman might say if Peyton challenges him on a critical play and he makes an interception. All of that drivel is irrelevant and the winner of SuperBowl XLVIII will come down to two things. Points scored and points allowed.

At the end of the day no one ever lost when they had more points than their opponent when the game clock reached zero. So today the only question is who do I like to have more points at the end of the game?

My heart would like to say the Seahawks but I don't trust their offense (outside of Marshawn Lynch) and I think their defense, while outstanding, can be susceptible to the big play. Peyton Manning has been on a run no one has ever matched (at least statistically) and I don't think the cold or the Seahawks defense is going to deny he and the Broncos a happy ending to their season.

Feels like Broncos by a FG.
Last Week: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 ) vs spread)
2013 Playoffs: 6 - 4 (4 - 4 - 2) vs spread)
2013 Season: 38 - 25 - 1 (28 - 34 - 2 vs spread)

Championship Picks

russell-wilson
Frank picks against the spread for Championship Weekend.
Broncos(-5) over Patriots
Brady-Manning XV should be an epic battle. For my money Brady has been the better QB in the postseason while Peyton has the clear regular season edge. Without Gronk on the field I just don't think the Pats can score enough. This round goes to Peyton. Omaha!
Seahawks over 49ers(+3.5)
Sheesh. My head is telling me the 49ers are the better team coming in, but I am sentimental and I like the whole 12th man thing Seattle has going. Percy Harvin is out for the Hawks but it's not like their success on offense has depending on him this season.
Colin Kaepernick has played terribly in Seattle his previous two outings but I think he finds his footing this time around. The 49ers defense is also ferocious. Sounds like I am leaning toward the 49ers after that last statement but I am gonna stick with Russell Wilson and the Seahawks at home. They have an X factor that's hard to quantify and I think it's just enough to give them the edge in this heavyweight bout sure to be an instant classic.
Last Week: 4 - 4 (1 - 3 ) vs spread)
2013 Playoffs: 4 - 4 (3 - 3 - 2) vs spread)
2013 Season: 38 - 25 - 1 (28 - 34 - 2 vs spread)

Divisional Game Picks

Knowshon-Moreno-27
Frank picks against the spread for the Divisional Round.
Seahawks over Saints(+9.5)
Should be a lot closer than the last meeting in Week 13 but a rested Seattle Defense will cause headaches for Drew Brees.
Colts(+7) over Patriots
Picking against Brady at home in playoff games doesn't seem like the smartest thing in the world but I am feeling a little Luck'y' on this one.
Panthers(+1.5) over 49ers
Cam's first playoff game comes against a red hot 49ers defense but the Panthers defense is just as stout on the other side. Panthers by a paw.
Broncos(-8.5) over Chargers
The Chargers have given the Broncos some issues in the regular season but I see the Denver offense giving the Chargers defense fits in this one.
Last Week: 2 - 2 (2 - 0 - 2) vs spread)
2013 Playoffs: 2 - 2 (2 - 0 - 2) vs spread)
2013 Season: 38 - 25 - 1 (28 - 34 - 2 vs spread)

Wild Card Game Picks

colin kaepernick
Frank picks against the spread for Wildcard Weekend.
Colts(-1) over Chiefs
It seems like a long time ago that the Chiefs were 9 - 0 and it appears Indy has regained their footing behind a resurgent offense and Andrew Luck.
Eagles over Saints(+2.5)
Saints have never won a road game and Philly hasn't exactly been a home juggernaut. What does it mean? I like the Eagles at home.
Bengals over Chargers(+7)
It's time for Andy Dalton and Marvin Lewis to get out of the first round. Your move Bengals.
49ers(-3) over Packers
Niners have beaten the Pack 3 straight times. Rodgers is back for the Pack but I think the 49ers are just a match up nightmare for the injury riddled Packers.
Last Week: 4 - 0 (3 - 1 vs spread)
2013 Season: 38 - 25 - 1 (28 - 34 - 2 vs spread)

Week 17 Game Picks

aaron-rodgers
Frank picks against the spread for Week 17.
Bengals(-6.5) over Ravens
Ravens have everything to play for here and the Bengals don't. The looser team wins these kind of games in my experience.
Packers(-3) over Bears
Aaron Rodgers returns just in time to save the Packers mediocre season.
Patriots over Bills(+8)
The Pats always beat the Bills, right?
Eagles over Cowboys(+7)
It seems like a cake walk for Philly with Romo out, but this is the NFC East we're talking about. Nothing is certain.
Last Week: 4 - 0 (2 - 2 vs spread)
Season: 34 - 25 - 1 (25 - 33 - 2 vs spread)

2 Guys Fantasy – 2 Guys 2 Watch: Week 16

Steven-Jackson

Frank’s Week 16 Spotlight

The Guy I Like: Torrey Smith, Baltimore Ravens

It’s been a tough year for Torrey. The trade of Anquan Boldin, the early season injury to Dennis Pitta, and the lack of other credible receiving threats has put all the pressure (and coverage) on Smith as the #1 receiver. But despite seeing tougher coverage Smith has still topped 1,000 yards receiving and remains one of the true deep threats in the game.

Smith will likely draw Aqib Talib this week, and he is quite adept at shutting down top receivers. But Smith has battled against some of the best corners in the league this year (Haden, Taylor) and I think he will get behind the physical Talib for a big play or two.

When the clock strikes zero I like Torrey Smith to have over 80 yards receiving and at least one touchdown.

The Guy I Do Not Like: Steven Jackson, Atlanta Falcons

Talk about being snake bitten. Steven Jackson left the Rams to go a playoff contender. In the off season it seemed as if a marriage between Jackson and the Falcons was a match made in heaven.

Fast forward to the regular season and Jackson has battled injuries that caused him to miss 5 games and limit his overall effectiveness. Jackson had been finding his groove as of late but this week he goes up against the 49ers defense which has found its mean streak again.

It’s championship week for most fantasy leagues and if I were starting Jackson this week I would consider other options. I think his opportunities will be limited by the 49ers defense and by situation, as I think Atlanta will be playing from behind in this contest.

Call it clairvoyance but I don’t see any more than 50 yards on the ground from Jackson and he likely won’t find the end zone.

Week 16 Game Picks

New York Giants v Dallas Cowboys
Frank picks against the spread for Week 16.
Panthers(-3.5) over Saints
NFC South is on the line here. Panthers D slows down the Saints this time around.
Cowboys(-3) over Redskins
Hard to imagine them rebounding from such a difficult loss against the Packers, but they will. The Redskins are a cure for most teams ills.
Eagles over Bears(+3)
In a battle that will be a close affair give me the QB that doesn't turn the football over. Nick Foles out duels Jay Cutler in this one.
Patriots(+2.5) over Ravens
Comes down to a FG again. Only this time Gostkowski boots it through late for a Pats Win.
Last Week: 1 - 3 (4 - 0 vs spread)
Season: 30 - 25 - 1 (23 - 31 - 2 vs spread)

It’s Almost Over – 2 Guys grouse about fantasy seasons lost and how to bring home your fantasy championship in Week 16

ty-hilton-13-colts

Well, we are almost at the finish line now.

This week 2 Guys take a look at their own disappointing fantasy seasons and how they came to pass.

After the gripe session, Frank and Evan tackle the idea of benching great players with tough match ups and their answers might surprise you.

Lastly, 2 Guys wish all their listeners Happy Holidays and promise to return with the latest and greatest fantasy football news in 2014.

Charles in Charge – Plus 5 Things to look for heading into Week 16

MichaelCrabtree
  • Chief for a Day
    • 5 touchdowns. Hopefully you had Jamaal Charles in your line ups for Week 15 as he ran wild for 5 touchdowns (4 through the air) and 195 yards receiving. There isn’t much to say about Charles performance other than to make sure he’s your line up next week against Indy.
  • Sad Tale of the Tight End
    • It was a bad day for some marquee TEs who had shined recently. Jimmy Graham, Charles Clay, and Cameron Jordan all were held under 30 yards receiving. This couldn’t have come at a worse time for guys that were becoming somewhat dependable in your fantasy line up. If you survive these poor performances you can play these guys next week but sometimes you don’t get a second chance when marquee players fail you.
  • Crabtree lives
    • Michael Crabtree found the end zone for the first time this season and it couldn’t have come at a better time for fantasy owners. His 45 yards receiving left a little to be desired but things will only get better for Crabtree going forward. If you survived this weekend keep him in your line up for the rest of the way.
  • No show for Knowshon
    • After weeks of being one of the highest producing RBs in the game, Knowshon hit the skids at the worst time. It appears Montee Ball has overtaken Moreno in terms of goal line carries and even more recently even in sub packages with 3 wide receivers or more. At this point Denver still has an explosive offense but it’s unclear if Moreno will get the touches necessary to be a fantasy factor down the stretch. My best guess is keep in him in your line up but diminish your expectations.
  • No Defense
    • Look for the Rams defense as a good play next week against the Buccaneers at home as well as the Jaguars at home against Tennessee. At this point in the season you’ve got to take a chance somewhere in your line up to generate points and these defenses could be your ticket to the championship in Week 16.

2 Guys Fantasy – 2 Guys 2 Watch: Week 15

Jay-Cutler-Bears

Frank’s Week 15 Spotlight

The Guy I Like: Charles Clay, Miami Dolphins

Charles Clay has been having quite a year so far. His 2 touchdowns last week raised his total to 6 on the season. In addition he has already amassed 678 yards receiving as well. This week the Dolphins face division rival New England whose secondary, outside of Aquib Talib, can be vulnerable against the pass.

Call it South Beach magic, but I like to find the endzone at least once in this contest and go over 70 yards receiving before it’s all over.

The Guy I Do Not Like: Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears

Josh McCown has looked so good in his 5 starts (13 touchdowns, 1 interception) that it’s hard to imagine Cutler coming back and doing much better. Not to mention Cutler faces a formidable Cleveland defense that had Tom Brady befuddled for most of the game last week before Brady led a miraculous 4th quarter comeback.

So how does this play out?

The way I see Cutler throws at least 2 interceptions and doesn’t top 250 yards passing. He might throw a td as well, but don’t expect too much from him since he is starting his first game in over a month.